TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Santa Cruz 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 21.5
- Polymarket
Santa Cruz 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 21.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 13, 2026
Closed: Oct 13, 7:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Boscardin Dias and Facundo Mena in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Boscardin Dias' if Pedro Boscardin Dias advances against Facundo Mena. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Pedro Boscardin Dias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Boscardin Dias and Facundo Mena in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Boscardin Dias' if Pedro Boscardin Dias advances against Facundo Mena. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Pedro Boscardin Dias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probabilities as perceived by a diverse group. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamics of each type of market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, offering a unique perspective on the potential result of the Boscardin Dias vs Mena match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Santa Cruz 2 match between Pedro Boscardin Dias and Facundo Mena, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Pedro Boscardin Dias or Facundo Mena, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Additionally, updates on their recent performance, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected announcements or public statements related to the event might also trigger shifts in market sentiment and trading volume.