TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Kicker and Facundo Mena in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Kicker' if Nicolas Kicker advances against Facundo Mena. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Nicolas Kicker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Kicker and Facundo Mena in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Kicker' if Nicolas Kicker advances against Facundo Mena. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Nicolas Kicker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd perceives information differently or has access to insights not fully captured by sportsbooks. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and changing perspectives regarding the Kicker vs Mena match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kicker vs Mena match as reported by the governing tennis organization. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact trading activity. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could also sway opinions and lead to price adjustments. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely cause movement in this market.