TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 4:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Federico Zeballos in the Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Federico Zeballos. This market will resolve to 'Federico Zeballos' if Federico Zeballos advances against Lucio Ratti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Federico Zeballos in the Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Federico Zeballos. This market will resolve to 'Federico Zeballos' if Federico Zeballos advances against Lucio Ratti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ratti vs Zeballos match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result. The current price indicates the market's assessment of the likelihood of Santa Cruz 2 winning.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lucio Ratti vs Federico Zeballos match in Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament news, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume will provide insights into potential catalysts for price changes in this market.