TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Santa Cruz 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran
polymarket

Santa Cruz 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran

Volume:
$92,641

Completed Match

 - Polymarket

Completed Match - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 6:43 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Santa Cruz 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91,981
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and Thiago Cigarran in the Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez' if Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez advances against Thiago Cigarran. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and Thiago Cigarran in the Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez' if Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez advances against Thiago Cigarran. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Rodriguez vs Cigarran fight tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome changes over time, and monitor the total volume traded in this market. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $92,641, and the total volume is $92,641. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the fight’s outcome.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets and sportsbooks have different costs and risk profiles, which can influence the odds.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the fight’s potential results. This dynamic pricing system aims to provide a real-time estimate of the event’s probability.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rodriguez vs Cigarran fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the fight takes place. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also have an impact. Furthermore, any shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could drive trading activity and alter the implied probabilities within this market.