TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hugo Dellien Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hugo Dellien Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 17, 2026
Closed: Oct 17, 5:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Hugo Dellien in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Hugo Dellien in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by individual traders on Polymarket, can quickly adjust to new information and potentially offer more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Juan Manuel La Serna versus Hugo Dellien match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and the outcome will be settled based on that official result. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the likely outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews from tennis analysts could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament upsets, might also impact the odds. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving probabilities in this market.