TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Santa Cruz 2: Juan Bautista Torres vs Alex Barrena Game Spread +/-3.5
- Polymarket
Santa Cruz 2: Juan Bautista Torres vs Alex Barrena Game Spread +/-3.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 12, 2026
Closed: Oct 12, 8:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Bautista Torres and Alex Barrena in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Bautista Torres' if Juan Bautista Torres advances against Alex Barrena. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Juan Bautista Torres. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Bautista Torres and Alex Barrena in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Bautista Torres' if Juan Bautista Torres advances against Alex Barrena. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Juan Bautista Torres. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profitability, while this market relies on the collective predictions of informed traders. These traders may incorporate unique data or insights not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. Therefore, you might observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those offered by conventional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the fight's potential results. The market's efficiency depends on active participation and the quality of information incorporated by traders.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Juan Bautista Torres vs Alex Barrena fight, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on this official result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class adjustments or rule changes could also have a significant impact. Additionally, any shifts in public opinion, as reflected in boxing analyst predictions or social media discussions, may drive volume and price fluctuations on Polymarket leading up to the fight.