TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 Winner
- Polymarket
Santa Cruz 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 Winner - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 13, 2026
Closed: Oct 13, 4:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Joaquin Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Joaquin Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses, public biases, or even late-breaking news not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, offering a potentially more up-to-date assessment of the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a constantly updated forecast for the Aguilar vs Alves match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Santa Cruz 2 match between Joaquin Aguilar and Felipe Meligeni Alves, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception regarding the Aguilar vs Alves match.