TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate Total Sets: O/U 2.5
- Polymarket
Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate Total Sets: O/U 2.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 13, 2026
Closed: Oct 13, 10:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Villanueva and Carlos Maria Zarate in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Villanueva' if Gonzalo Villanueva advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Gonzalo Villanueva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Villanueva and Carlos Maria Zarate in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Villanueva' if Gonzalo Villanueva advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Gonzalo Villanueva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by house biases or public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply the unique dynamics of each venue. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into the perceived value of various outcomes and the overall sentiment surrounding the Villanueva vs Zarate fight.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Villanueva vs Zarate fight. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the fight's potential results. This differs from fixed-odds betting, allowing for more nuanced predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Villanueva vs Zarate fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. This provides a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 19, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also have an impact. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, although the market is driven by trader actions, not external forecasts. Any significant development related to either fighter or the event itself has the potential to move the market.