TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Genaro Alberto Olivieri and Lucio Ratti in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Genaro Alberto Olivieri' if Genaro Alberto Olivieri advances against Lucio Ratti. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Genaro Alberto Olivieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Genaro Alberto Olivieri and Lucio Ratti in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Genaro Alberto Olivieri' if Genaro Alberto Olivieri advances against Lucio Ratti. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Genaro Alberto Olivieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, whereas this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the Olivieri vs Ratti match, though it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Olivieri vs Ratti match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to represent the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment. The current volume suggests a moderate level of interest in this particular matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Santa Cruz 2 match between Genaro Alberto Olivieri and Lucio Ratti. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be eligible for payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and verifiable process for determining the market's outcome.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Genaro Alberto Olivieri or Lucio Ratti, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in their recent performance or tactical adjustments could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, like venue changes or rule modifications, could also cause movement. Publicly available analysis from boxing experts and shifts in betting trends from sportsbooks might also influence trading activity in this market.