TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Genaro Alberto Olivieri and Alex Barrena in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Genaro Alberto Olivieri' if Genaro Alberto Olivieri advances against Alex Barrena. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Genaro Alberto Olivieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Genaro Alberto Olivieri and Alex Barrena in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Genaro Alberto Olivieri' if Genaro Alberto Olivieri advances against Alex Barrena. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Genaro Alberto Olivieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Olivieri vs Barrena fight.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is entirely driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Olivieri vs Barrena fight. This creates a dynamic and efficient price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Olivieri vs Barrena fight, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to the final market price of their shares, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also cause shifts, as prediction market participants often monitor external data. Furthermore, analysis from boxing experts and public opinion expressed on social media could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market for the Olivieri vs Barrena fight. Major upsets in similar fights could also impact confidence in either fighter.