TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Francisco Comesana and Thiago Seyboth Wild in Santa Cruz 2 will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the match being completed, as reported by the official ATP Tour scores at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The market will resolve based on the outcome of this match, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. Keep an eye on the official ATP Tour website for confirmation of match completion, as the resolution date estimate is October 24, 2026, representing the end of the betting period should the match extend beyond its original scheduling.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Comesana and Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Francisco Comesana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, the odds on Polymarket may converge or diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, depending on how the crowd interprets the new data.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Comesana vs Wild match, and the price of each share reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of shares representing that outcome, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Comesana vs Wild match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The platform will rely on official tournament results to determine the winning outcome. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring that the market accurately reflects the actual event result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final outcome and the subsequent settlement of shares on Polymarket.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or even updated weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also cause price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing trading activity will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds for this match.