This event group covers the J-League match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and V-Varen Nagasaki scheduled for April 18, 2026. Three complementary markets resolve based on the 90-minute match outcome: Hiroshima win, draw, or Nagasaki win. All markets reference only regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 18, 2026, with identical treatment of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official J-League statistics as recognized by the Japan Professional Football League (JLeague), with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Exactly one of the three mutually exclusive outcomes will occur: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win, V-Varen Nagasaki win, or draw.
Polymarket markets resolve YES for their respective outcome (Hiroshima win, Nagasaki win, or draw) and NO for all other outcomes.
Kalshi markets resolve YES if any of the three outcomes occurs (Tie, V-Varen win, or Hiroshima win), meaning all three Kalshi markets will resolve YES regardless of result.
Resolution scope is limited to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket Hiroshima and Nagasaki win markets resolve NO, the draw market resolves YES, and all Kalshi markets resolve YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the April 18, 2026 match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs based on the final outcome of the completed match.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket resolves the Hiroshima win and Nagasaki win markets to NO and the draw market to YES. All three Kalshi markets resolve to YES.
Official Statistics Delay: If the J-League does not publish official match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may be based on consensus from credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official J-League publication of final match statistics, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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