TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:16 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu S-Pulse, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Sanfrecce Hiroshima" if Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shimizu S-Pulse" if Shimizu S-Pulse are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu S-Pulse, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Sanfrecce Hiroshima" if Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shimizu S-Pulse" if Shimizu S-Pulse are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a collective wisdom that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market responding to new information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand – if many traders believe Sanfrecce will score first, the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, reflecting that sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima versus Shimizu S-Pulse match will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official match data and sources, ensuring an accurate and transparent result. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Shimizu S-Pulse would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting playing style, could contribute to movement. Any significant public announcements or expert analysis regarding the teams’ chances could also move this market.