TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Shimizu S-Pulse
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Shimizu S-Pulse?

Volume:
$213,041

Hiroshima

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 3:03 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hiroshima

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43,773
N/A
N/A
$24,029
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shimizu

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,142
N/A
N/A
$54,679
Settled
No
polymarket

Shimizu S-Pulse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,655
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,749
N/A
N/A
$21,311
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Shimizu S-Pulse)

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu S-Pulse on October 24, 2026. Markets exist for Hiroshima winning, Shimizu winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves cancelled games to 'No', while Kalshi's logic doesn't address cancellation.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers defined risk, while Kalshi's risk is undefined in that scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Sanfrecce Hiroshima, Shimizu S-Pulse, or a draw occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If canceled, resolves 'No'. Source: JLeague.jp
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Sanfrecce Hiroshima, Shimizu S-Pulse, or a draw occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No cancellation handling is specified. Source: J1 League
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Hiroshima vs Shimizu professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective market if Hiroshima wins (Rule 1), Shimizu wins (Rule 2), or the match ends in a tie (Rule 3). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular time results—extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregate prediction of whether Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Shimizu S-Pulse will win their J1 League match. Currently, the consensus view across both platforms indicates a strong likelihood of Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning, with a combined volume of $213,041. This represents the collective wisdom of traders attempting to forecast the outcome of the game. The dashboard provides a unified view of the probabilities and trading volume for the J1 League match market, allowing users to compare sentiment across different prediction markets.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may better aggregate diverse information and reduce biases. However, both offer valuable insights; sportsbooks benefit from expert analysis, and this market benefits from a broad base of informed traders. Examining both can improve your overall understanding of the potential result.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, which influences trading behavior. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform—currently $213,041—can impact price discovery. Differences in trading fees and platform-specific rules may also contribute to discrepancies. Finally, differing interpretations of available information regarding team form, injuries, and other relevant factors can lead to differing probabilities being assigned to each outcome.