TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in a league game scheduled for a specific date. The result depends solely on the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible results: one team winning, the other team winning, or the match ending in a draw.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Sandefjord vs Lillestroem Eliteserien soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Sandefjord win, Lillestroem win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market settles to 'Yes.' Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the match is canceled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original schedule, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd' versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially uncovering insights that sportsbooks miss. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants influencing the price. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a transparent and efficient way to forecast the result of the Sandefjord vs Lillestroem match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sandefjord vs Lillestroem match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the official result, providing a clear and objective settlement process for this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Sandefjord or Lillestroem would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also influence the odds, as could significant shifts in public opinion or betting patterns. Major announcements related to the league standings or qualification scenarios could also move the market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the evolving context of the competition.