TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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San Telmo vs Defensores
kalshi

What is the result of San Telmo vs Defensores?

Volume:
$767,313

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 4:22 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$388,517
N/A
N/A
$213,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Telmo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$204,869
N/A
N/A
$171,474
Settled
No
kalshi

Defensores

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$173,927
N/A
N/A
$152,236
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether the San Telmo vs Defensores Argentine Nacional B soccer game will end in a tie. Currently, Kalshi gives a 90.0% probability to a tie, with San Telmo winning at 6.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the match as reported by the official source, determining if San Telmo wins the game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep a close eye on the kickoff of the match on October 17, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the San Telmo vs Defensores professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026. There are three possible outcomes: San Telmo win, Defensores win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. If the match concludes with a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the defined procedures. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the San Telmo vs Defensores match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing each possible outcome in real-time. Currently, the total volume traded on this market is $767,313, with $765,935 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a snapshot of trader sentiment and activity surrounding the match. The dashboard is updated continuously to reflect the latest trading activity and price movements.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade in a way that shifts the price on Kalshi closer to their collective assessment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large amount of volume accumulates.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more volume is traded, the price typically becomes more efficient and representative of the true probability of the event.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Telmo vs Defensores match. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team performance or coaching changes could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large-volume trades by individual participants or groups could temporarily shift the odds, reflecting a strong conviction about a particular outcome. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market shifts.