TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Argentine Nacional B soccer match between San Telmo and Almirante Brown. The market will determine whether San Telmo wins, Almirante Brown wins, or the game ends in a tie within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the San Telmo vs Almirante Brown professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for San Telmo or Almirante Brown markets occurs only if that team secures a victory within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time—extra time and penalty shootouts do not count. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after the same regulation duration. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of individuals, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on the aggregated predictions of many traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the San Telmo vs Almirante Brown match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the San Telmo vs Almirante Brown match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. The current market depth and trading activity provide insights into how traders perceive the likelihood of each team winning.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the San Telmo vs Almirante Brown match, as officially recorded by sporting authorities, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout for their contracts after the event concludes and the outcome is verified.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 3, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even shifts in public perception could all cause the odds to fluctuate. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trader sentiment. Any significant development related to the San Telmo vs Almirante Brown match has the potential to move this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.