TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Argentine Nacional B soccer match between San Miguel and Madryn, focusing on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The contest determines whether San Miguel, Madryn, or neither (a tie) secures the victory in this professional soccer fixture.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the San Miguel vs Madryn professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, considering only regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time), excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If San Miguel wins, the 'San Miguel' market resolves to Yes; if Madryn wins, the 'Madryn' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, whereas sportsbook odds may be slower to change.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Miguel vs Madryn match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The final score and winning team will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the resolved outcome and any associated payouts on the Kalshi platform following the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, weather conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could cause the odds to fluctuate. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders could create momentum and drive price movements, especially as the event draws closer to its resolution date.