TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:34 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between San Martin de Tucuman and Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the San Martin de Tucuman vs. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between San Martin de Tucuman and Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the San Martin de Tucuman vs. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by individuals’ beliefs about the outcome of the San Martin vs. Gimnasia match. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact score outcomes for the San Martin vs. Gimnasia match, and the price of each share reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a specific result, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence in that prediction. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest insights of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the San Martin vs. Gimnasia match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning exact score and trigger the payout of shares. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Polymarket once the event has concluded and the result is officially confirmed.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities of different exact scores. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant bets placed by influential traders on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting a change in collective sentiment about the San Martin vs. Gimnasia match.