TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
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In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between San Marino and Belarus, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between San Marino and Belarus, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to odds that can diverge from those offered elsewhere. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and insights more quickly than sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available. Comparing the two can reveal interesting differences in how various entities assess the probability of an event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood, driven entirely by user activity and their willingness to take the other side of a trade.
This market resolves around Nov 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Marino vs. Belarus match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 12, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, might lead to changes in trading activity and, consequently, the market’s price. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities.