TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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San Luis vs Queretaro: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of San Luis vs Queretaro?

Volume:
$65,793

San Luis wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

San Luis wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 10:56 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Luis wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,086
N/A
N/A
$9,610
Settled
No
kalshi

San Luis wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,654
N/A
N/A
$6,786
Settled
No
kalshi

Queretaro wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,287
N/A
N/A
$8,187
Settled
No
kalshi

Queretaro wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,994
N/A
N/A
$5,744
Settled
No
kalshi

San Luis wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$772
N/A
N/A
$772
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between San Luis and Queretaro, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the San Luis versus Queretaro Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 20, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are disregarded. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: San Luis winning by more than 2.5 goals, San Luis winning by more than 1.5 goals, Queretaro winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Queretaro winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold represents a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the actual result meets or exceeds its specified margin of victory for the corresponding team. The governing rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the Liga MX league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective rights holders.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the San Luis vs Queretaro match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $65,793, with $64,625 traded in the last 24 hours. You can see how the implied probabilities have shifted over time with the price chart and observe the level of interest from traders through the volume indicators. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd stands on the potential outcome of the spread in this matchup.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, not guarantees.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the San Luis vs Queretaro match spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of a particular outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual result. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the San Luis vs Queretaro match will be used to determine the winning contracts. This resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Luis or Queretaro teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or starting lineup, could also cause volatility. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the perceived probability of different outcomes.