TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:05h:14m
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This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between San Luis and Juarez. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the San Luis vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for November 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Multiple markets correspond to different goal thresholds (over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals). If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information surfaces, influencing traders’ assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and information, creating a dynamic and responsive price discovery process. This means the market price isn't set by a single entity but emerges from the collective actions of all traders.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the San Luis vs Juarez match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the total goals will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result as this will determine the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either San Luis or Juarez would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also impact predictions. Even late-breaking news about team formations or tactical approaches could shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.