TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
San Luis wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
San Luis wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:07h:46m
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This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between San Luis and Juarez, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the San Luis versus Juarez Liga MX soccer match scheduled for November 6, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each corresponding to a specific winning margin: San Luis winning by more than 2.5 goals, San Luis winning by more than 1.5 goals, Juarez winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Juarez winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The event explicitly states that the platform operating the market—Kalshi—is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for arbitrage, though transaction costs and timing are important considerations. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the San Luis vs Juarez match, as determined by official sports data sources. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result of the match and the market’s outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 7, 2026. Key factors include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either San Luis or Juarez, changes in team form based on recent match results, and even weather conditions that could impact the game. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or significant tactical shifts could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed traders taking positions based on non-public information, causing a shift in the market's pricing.