TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:06h:48m
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A professional league soccer match pits two teams against each other, with the winner after normal time deciding the outcome and a defined resolution for games that conclude with equal scores.
Resolution depends on the San Luis vs Juarez Liga MX soccer match scheduled for Nov 6, 2026. If San Luis wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'San Luis' market resolves to Yes. A Juarez victory under the same conditions leads to the 'Juarez' market resolving to Yes. When the match ends in a tie after full regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Any cancellation or rescheduling exceeding 48 hours from the original time will result in all markets resolving to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. Sportsbook odds may be more influenced by public perception and initial biases, whereas the prediction market can adjust more rapidly to incorporate relevant data and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly in less liquid markets.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Luis vs Juarez match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The precise timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results, but it will occur promptly after the match concludes.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the San Luis vs Juarez match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team dynamics could also play a role. Even public sentiment and media coverage can sometimes influence trading activity, though the market typically self-corrects based on more substantive information. Monitoring these signals can help you identify potential trading opportunities.