TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:02 PM EST
Kalshi
Similar to the Juarez-Queretaro event, this market evaluates goal totals for the San Luis versus Atlas Liga MX game scheduled for October 30, 2026. Resolution hinges exclusively on goals scored during standard match time.
Resolution depends entirely on goal counts during the 90-minute regulation period and stoppage time, with thresholds at 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. Extra time and penalty shootout results are not considered. The markets operate independently of league governance, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders could potentially profit by buying on one venue and selling on the other. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the San Luis vs Atlas match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome happens.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the San Luis vs Atlas match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the official match, as recorded by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered; only goals scored during regular playing time count towards the final result. The resolution will be based on publicly available, official match data.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 31, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either San Luis or Atlas would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected number of goals. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information regarding team form or motivation could impact the price of contracts in this market.