TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Atlas will win the San Luis vs Atlas professional Liga MX soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Atlas a 79.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 19.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the match, as determined by the game’s final score after regulation time, according to the resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve following the completion of the game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026, with final resolution expected by the resolution date estimate of 2026-10-31.
The event determines the winner of the San Luis vs Atlas professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 30, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for San Luis, a win for Atlas, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within the regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may adjust lines based on betting patterns, the continuous trading on Kalshi allows for rapid incorporation of diverse viewpoints and insights.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Luis vs Atlas match, as declared by the governing sports authority. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen contracts align with the final result. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process, providing clarity and confidence in the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or strategic changes are also likely to cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, potentially leading to price adjustments in this market. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into the evolving expectations surrounding the San Luis vs Atlas match.