TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between San Jose and Salt Lake scheduled for October 31, 2026. The focus is on determining whether either team wins in regular time or if the game ends in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the San Jose vs Salt Lake professional MLS soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either San Jose or Salt Lake resolves the respective market to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result within regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases based on public perception and attempt to balance their books, while this market aggregates the informed opinions of individuals incentivized to be accurate. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on team rankings and statistics, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate less obvious factors or insider knowledge. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow determine the prevailing prices, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share of the potential payout if their predicted outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Jose vs Salt Lake match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution. The process is designed to be transparent and based on objective, publicly available data.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any major news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could influence trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also impact the market. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that might affect the match could also cause price fluctuations. Essentially, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move this market.