TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming NHL hockey game between San Jose and Ottawa. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond the losing team, with different thresholds defining various outcomes. The event captures the competitive balance and performance of both teams in a single game.
The event consists of four primary rules that collectively determine the outcome based on the goal differential in the San Jose vs Ottawa NHL game scheduled for October 22, 2026. Each rule specifies a different margin of victory required for a 'Yes' resolution. If Ottawa wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'. Similarly, if San Jose wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, the respective market also resolves to 'Yes'. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment under schedule disruptions.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. If many traders believe a team is undervalued by sportsbooks, the odds on Kalshi may shift to reflect that belief. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and insights that aren’t immediately factored into sportsbook lines, offering a potentially different valuation of the San Jose vs Ottawa spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately assess the likelihood of each outcome, as their profits depend on correctly predicting the final spread. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a more accurate representation of the true probability, making it a dynamic and informative indicator of expectations for the San Jose vs Ottawa game.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the San Jose vs Ottawa game. The platform will then verify the result against publicly available data to determine which contracts payout. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the odds at the time of their trade. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is interpreting the latest information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Jose or Ottawa teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or strategic changes could lead to rapid price movements. Monitoring news sources and analyzing team statistics will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market leading up to Oct 23, 2026.