TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming professional MLS soccer match between San Jose and Nashville. Participants predict whether the total goals will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of certainty about the game's offensive output. The outcomes depend solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
These markets collectively assess whether the total number of goals scored by both teams in the San Jose vs Nashville MLS match scheduled for October 17, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals. Resolution is based exclusively on the score after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, effectively creating a tiered structure where higher thresholds represent more aggressive predictions about the game's offensive intensity. All markets share the same foundational rules regarding timing and scoring conditions, ensuring consistency across the spectrum of outcome possibilities. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome of the San Jose vs Nashville match and the total goals scored.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different goal totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of whether the actual total goals will be above or below that level. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus about the San Jose vs Nashville game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final goal total scored in the San Jose vs Nashville game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the verified result of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the San Jose or Nashville teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team tactics or starting lineups, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to volatility in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026.