TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:34 AM EST
Kalshi
The MLS encounter between San Jose and Nashville will test whether both clubs can score within the standard match duration of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The focus is on offensive performance and defensive lapses that could lead to goals from either team.
If San Jose and Nashville both score a goal in the San Jose vs Nashville MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can be due to varying levels of information, differing interpretations, or simply the dynamic nature of a live market. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both San Jose and Nashville will score during the match. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market’s aggregate expectation of the event’s likelihood, and you can observe the price history to understand how sentiment has changed over time.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both San Jose and Nashville score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The official result, as reported by recognized sports data providers, will determine the final settlement of the contracts. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The market will close prior to the event’s completion to prevent manipulation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either San Jose or Nashville would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, might also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, major betting trends or large-volume trades on Kalshi could quickly move the market, reflecting a change in perceived probability.