TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Nashville will win the San Jose vs Nashville professional MLS soccer game. Currently, Kalshi gives Nashville a 75.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 20.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result reported for the match. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score at the end of regulation on October 17, 2026.
If San Jose wins the San Jose vs Nashville professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Nashville wins the San Jose vs Nashville professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the San Jose vs Nashville professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information beyond what’s captured in traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and public perception, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing traders to incorporate a wider range of factors, including potentially insider information or nuanced analysis. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available, and the market adjusts more rapidly to changing circumstances than traditional betting venues. However, both aim to accurately forecast the eventual winner.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding contract will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, offering a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which team wins the NHL Stanley Cup, based on the official results declared by the NHL. The resolution will be based on the final outcome of the championship series, and any potential disputes will be resolved using publicly available and verifiable information. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Key player injuries, unexpected coaching changes, or shifts in team performance during the playoffs are all potential catalysts. Major trades leading up to the trade deadline could also reshape team dynamics and alter the perceived probabilities. Additionally, any news regarding team morale, internal conflicts, or external factors affecting player availability could impact trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves as the NHL season progresses.