TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total number of goals scored by both teams in an upcoming NHL hockey match. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the combined score exceeds that threshold. The outcomes reflect the excitement and scoring potential of the game.
These markets evaluate whether the total goals scored by both teams in the San Jose vs Montreal NHL game scheduled for October 20, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 9.5 goals. All markets share consistent secondary rules: goals from regulation and overtime count normally, and a shootout awards one goal to the winner. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. The resolution for each market depends solely on whether the actual total goals meet or exceed its individual threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from the implied probability in this market, it could indicate a disagreement between professional oddsmakers and the broader prediction market community. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different perspectives on the same event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and perspectives. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the San Jose vs Montreal match will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will be paid out according to the market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date to stay informed of any potential factors that could influence the final score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either San Jose or Montreal would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical shifts revealed before the match could also play a role. Finally, general shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence trading activity and move the market price.