TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
Similar to the previous event, these markets evaluate the winning margin for either team in another NHL matchup. The resolution depends exclusively on the goal difference during regulation and overtime, disregarding shootout outcomes.
Resolution depends on whether Montreal or San Jose wins the NHL game and by how many goals, counting only regulation and overtime scores. Shootout results do not influence the margin. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the scheduled time, markets remain active and resolve based on the final outcome. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional point spreads, particularly when a significant amount of volume is traded. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and represent a common benchmark for comparison. It’s important to consider both when evaluating the potential outcome of the San Jose vs Montreal game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of the event outcome, offering a unique perspective compared to static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the San Jose vs Montreal game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the governing body of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will be paid out according to the market price at resolution. It’s important to note that the outcome is determined by the actual game result, not by any subjective assessment or individual opinion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games or significant shifts in public opinion could also contribute to price movements. Major announcements related to the teams or the game itself are likely to generate increased trading volume and volatility. Keeping abreast of these developments is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.