TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between San Jose and Detroit. It focuses on whether either team will win by a specified number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and scoring trends typical in hockey matches. The outcome hinges on the final score of the game as recorded by official league sources.
The event consists of four markets, each tied to specific goal-differential thresholds for either San Jose or Detroit to win by in their NHL game scheduled for October 17, 2026. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The primary rules define varying win margins—Detroit winning by over 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or San Jose winning by over 1.5 or 2.5 goals—as the conditions under which each respective market resolves to 'Yes.' No market resolves to 'Yes' unless the specified margin is strictly exceeded; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' The structure allows participants to bet on different levels of dominance by either team in the contest.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws nearer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the San Jose vs Detroit spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, analysis, and their own risk tolerance, which dynamically shifts the price and reflects the evolving expectations of the crowd. The current price represents the market’s best estimate of the spread.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread for the San Jose vs Detroit game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by the governing body of the sport. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Jose or Detroit teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, updated team statistics, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market is driven by individual trader decisions. Unexpected developments leading up to the game could all contribute to shifts in the price of this market.