TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether the combined number of goals scored by both teams in a specific NHL hockey match exceeds various thresholds. The outcomes depend solely on the total goals counted during regulation and overtime periods, with shootout goals counted as one goal for the winning team. Markets resolve based on the official game result, accounting for potential postponements or cancellations.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams in the San Jose vs Dallas NHL game scheduled for October 5, 2026, with each market corresponding to a different threshold of goals (ranging from more than 1.5 to more than 9.5). Goals scored during regulation and overtime count normally, while a shootout result contributes one goal to the winning team's total. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The resolution for each market depends on whether the actual total goals exceed its specific threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional betting markets in terms of accuracy, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information and motivations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, if traders sell, the price decreases. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely total goals scored in the San Jose vs Dallas match.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the San Jose vs Dallas match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct total goals will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect total will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either San Jose or Dallas would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, recent performance, or tactical adjustments could also shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on game day, especially if they are expected to affect scoring, could also play a role. Finally, any major shifts in public opinion or expert predictions regarding the likely outcome of the match could lead to increased trading activity and price fluctuations in this market.