TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the performance gap between San Jose and Dallas in their scheduled NHL game. It focuses on the margin of victory, determining whether either team secures a decisive lead. Outcomes hinge on the difference in goals scored, reflecting the dominance of one team over the other.
The event evaluates whether San Jose or Dallas achieves a victory margin exceeding specified goal thresholds in their NHL match scheduled for October 5, 2026. Four distinct outcome conditions are defined: Dallas winning by more than 2.5 goals, Dallas winning by more than 1.5 goals, San Jose winning by more than 1.5 goals, or San Jose winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, tends to more closely reflect the true probabilities as perceived by those participating. However, differences can emerge due to varying levels of information, risk appetite, and analytical approaches between prediction market participants and sportsbook oddsmakers. It's useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the San Jose vs Dallas spread, as determined by official league statistics. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome. It's important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result, as this will be the basis for settlement on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Key player injuries, changes in team performance, coaching decisions, and even unexpected news events could all shift trader sentiment. Any significant development affecting the perceived competitiveness of either team could lead to price adjustments. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could also signal a shift in expectations. Monitoring sports news and analyzing team statistics are helpful ways to anticipate potential market movements in this market.