TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
For the MLS encounter between San Jose and Colorado on October 28, 2026, this event will resolve based on whether both teams score a goal within the 90 minutes of play, including stoppage time. The match's outcome in terms of both teams scoring during the standard timeframe determines the result, disregarding any goals scored during extra time or penalties.
If San Jose and Colorado both score a goal in the San Jose vs Colorado MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, often incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. While sportsbooks may initially have different probabilities, prediction markets often converge towards more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available and more people trade. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before the event begins.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing 'yes' or 'no' outcomes for the BTTS event. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of both teams scoring. Conversely, selling 'yes' contracts lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the San Jose and Colorado teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from recognized sports data providers will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted whether both teams would score, based on the final contract prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either San Jose or Colorado would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a high-scoring or low-scoring game could move the market. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also influence trading on Kalshi.