TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether San Jose State will win their upcoming college football game against Hawai'i. Currently, the probability of San Jose State winning on Polymarket is 19.0%. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 4 at 12:00AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the final score of that contest.
In the upcoming college football game between San Jose State and Hawai'i, scheduled for October 4 at 12:00AM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose State" if San Jose State win the game. This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals making independent predictions. Typically, discrepancies arise from differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It is common to see this market’s probabilities shift as new information becomes available, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the San Jose State vs. Hawai'i game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Jose State or Hawai'i teams would likely impact trading activity. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they affect playing conditions, could also shift probabilities. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information released regarding team morale or preparation could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.