TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between San Jose State and UTEP. Outcomes are determined solely by the score at halftime, with various thresholds defining different market resolutions.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the first half of the San Jose State versus UTEP college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold: if San Jose State wins by more than the stated margin, the corresponding 'San Jose St. wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if UTEP wins by more than the stated margin, the corresponding 'UTEP wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; otherwise, the market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the official halftime result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game commencement timing.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by individuals trading on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe San Jose St. is likely to cover the spread, the price will move in that direction, potentially offering different value than what’s available at a sportsbook. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the first half of the San Jose St. vs UTEP game will be used to determine whether San Jose St. covered the 7.5-point spread. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Jose St. or UTEP teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift the perceived probabilities. Public betting patterns and analysis from sports analysts, even if not directly reflected in sportsbook lines, can also influence trading activity in this market.