TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential between San Jose State and Nevada in their scheduled college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the San Jose State vs Nevada college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If Nevada wins by the exact margin specified in a market's title, that market does not resolve as 'Yes'—only outcomes exceeding the stated margin trigger resolution. For instance, a market titled 'Nevada wins by over 20.5 points' requires Nevada to win by 21 or more points to resolve positively. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning payouts are adjusted to reflect the likely outcome based on available information at the time of cancellation. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows individuals to express their own predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is inherently more accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the San Jose St. vs. Nevada game. The platform will then verify the result against official sources to determine which contracts payout. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. News regarding injuries to key players on either the San Jose St. or Nevada teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, and even public sentiment shifts based on media coverage could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected developments or late-breaking news related to either team’s performance or preparedness could also cause shifts in the market.