TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:37 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the point differential in the first half of a college football game between San Jose State and Nevada. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, resolving based on whether the winning team exceeds that margin within the first half.
All markets resolve based on the point differential in the first half of the San Jose State versus Nevada college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For Nevada markets, resolution occurs if Nevada wins by more than the specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 20.5 points). For San Jose State markets, resolution occurs if San Jose State wins by more than the specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 17.5 points). Only points scored during the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring in the first half of the San Jose St vs Nevada game. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the first half of the San Jose St vs Nevada game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of $1 per contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Jose St or Nevada teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s style of play, could also impact the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role in driving price fluctuations in this market.