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San Jose St. vs Hawai'i: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of San Jose St. vs Hawai'i?

Volume:
$2,283,489

San Jose St. wins by over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 3:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$147,833
N/A
N/A
$67,880
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$146,129
N/A
N/A
$45,529
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130,150
N/A
N/A
$51,148
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$432,194
N/A
N/A
$310,056
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$393,018
N/A
N/A
$218,325
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180,691
N/A
N/A
$75,985
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151,554
N/A
N/A
$77,935
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$108,909
N/A
N/A
$42,932
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103,519
N/A
N/A
$53,592
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,512
N/A
N/A
$58,460
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86,667
N/A
N/A
$36,352
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,591
N/A
N/A
$21,523
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,191
N/A
N/A
$29,115
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,567
N/A
N/A
$21,408
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,660
N/A
N/A
$20,801
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,851
N/A
N/A
$18,143
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,679
N/A
N/A
$19,130
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 16.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,393
N/A
N/A
$9,698
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,014
N/A
N/A
$12,982
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,284
N/A
N/A
$7,429
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose St. wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,595
N/A
N/A
$4,052
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,324
N/A
N/A
$7,375
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,725
N/A
N/A
$4,684
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,835
N/A
N/A
$5,516
Settled
No
kalshi

Hawai'i wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,930
N/A
N/A
$4,338
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks whether San Jose State will win their college football game against Hawai'i by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 78.0% probability to San Jose State winning by over 1.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the San Jose St. vs Hawai'i college football game, with resolution details found in the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 4, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final score of the San Jose State vs Hawai'i college football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If Hawai'i wins, markets resolve to Yes if the victory margin exceeds the specified point threshold; if San Jose State wins, markets resolve to Yes if their margin exceeds the threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the San Jose St. vs Hawai'i spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the game. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to see how the market has moved over time. It also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $2,260,537, and the total volume traded to date, which is $2,283,489. This provides a clear picture of market activity and sentiment surrounding the likely outcome of the game.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As a result, you may find that the implied probability of a particular spread occurring in this market differs from what is offered at major sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a specific spread is likely, the higher the contract's price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the San Jose St. vs Hawai'i game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the actual result will settle at 100; those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The precise resolution details are available on Kalshi.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Jose St. or Hawai'i teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's conditions, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, and even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.