TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:33 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the point differential in the first half of a college football game between San Jose State and Hawai'i. Outcomes depend on whether either team achieves specific margin thresholds during the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the San Jose State vs. Hawai'i college football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, with outcomes determined by whether the winning team exceeds the designated margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting equitable settlement based on available information and circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can create opportunities for informed traders who can identify mispricings between the two types of markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the San Jose St. vs Hawai'i first half spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders’ predictions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe one side of the spread is more likely, the price will move accordingly, reflecting the collective forecast. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to represent the probability of different outcomes as perceived by the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the first half of the San Jose St. vs Hawai'i game will be compared to the market’s spread to determine winning and losing contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted source for sports scores, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Jose St. or Hawai'i teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.