TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the college football game between San Jose State and Hawai'i. Currently, Kalshi gives San Jose St. wins an 82.0% probability, while Hawai'i wins is at 20.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game as reported by the official result of the San Jose St. vs Hawai'i college football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 4, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on the winner of the San Jose State versus Hawai'i college football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If Hawai'i wins, its corresponding market will resolve to Yes, and San Jose State’s market to No, and vice versa if San Jose State wins. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, both markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts regarding the San Jose St. vs Hawai'i game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential results of the San Jose St. vs Hawai'i game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Jose St. vs Hawai'i game, as reported by a trusted source for college football scores. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances after the resolution process is complete. The platform will verify the outcome and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant shifts in team performance could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even public statements from players or coaches could also cause the market to move. Furthermore, large-volume trades by individual participants on Kalshi can create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting a strong conviction about the San Jose St. vs Hawai'i game’s outcome.