TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:00 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 31 at 5:00 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 31 at 5:00 PM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event date. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. However, sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team statistics and expert analysis, and may adjust them based on betting action. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly in the early stages of trading. This market reflects the collective forecast of participants on Predict, which may differ from initial sportsbook assessments.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders believe is the fair value of each outcome, considering all available information and their own analysis. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various results in the Earthquakes vs. Real Salt Lake match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Earthquakes vs. Real Salt Lake match, as determined by the league and reported by widely recognized sports news sources. The final score and any relevant match statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings after the resolution is finalized and all necessary data has been verified.
Several factors could influence trading in this market before Oct 31, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Earthquakes or Real Salt Lake would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a previous match, could also impact market sentiment. Major weather events affecting playing conditions, or even significant news regarding team management or ownership, could also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely trigger trading activity and move the market.