TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the odds on Polymarket can adjust more rapidly than those at traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, particularly closer to the event, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome – either the Earthquakes or Real Salt Lake scoring first. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the San Jose Earthquakes versus Real Salt Lake match will determine the winning outcome. In the event of a tie or cancellation, specific rules outlined on Polymarket will apply to determine the market’s resolution. The platform will verify the result against official match data to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Earthquakes or Real Salt Lake would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before kickoff could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could influence traders’ decisions on Polymarket.