TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:50 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 17 at 10:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 17 at 10:30 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring as assessed by traders. This market may show differences in implied probabilities compared to traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changes in expert analysis than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards another outcome, the price of shares in that outcome will increase while the original outcome's price decreases. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Earthquakes vs. Nashville SC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market, and winning shares will be paid out accordingly. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is interpreting the latest developments.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or tactical adjustments could also move the market. Furthermore, expert analysis and updated statistical projections can impact the perceived probabilities of different outcomes. A strong performance by either team in a preceding match, or even a change in public perception, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.