TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:52 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming MLS game between San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they may drive the price on Polymarket in the opposite direction. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and potentially offer more accurate probabilities than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a draw at halftime in the Earthquakes vs. Nashville SC match. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the halftime result of the Earthquakes vs. Nashville SC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by whether the game is tied at the end of the first half. Any official data source recognized for reporting soccer scores will serve as the basis for verification. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the halftime result, based on the final share prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Earthquakes or Nashville SC could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact playing style, could also play a role. Even late-breaking news about team formations or tactical adjustments could move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants on Polymarket could also indicate a shift in sentiment and cause the price to fluctuate.