TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:30 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Nashville SC" if Nashville SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Nashville SC" if Nashville SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as event time approaches. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value if they diverge significantly from the prediction market price. It’s common to see the odds on Predict converge with sportsbook lines as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will score first. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe the Earthquakes will score first, the price to bet on them will rise. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities. The current price reflects the collective prediction of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the San Jose Earthquakes vs. Nashville SC match will be declared the winner. In the event of a draw or other unforeseen circumstances affecting the scoring order, the outcome will be determined based on official match results and verified against credible public sources. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first scoring team.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Earthquakes or Nashville SC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, unexpected lineup announcements or tactical shifts revealed before the match could shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, influenced by analyst predictions or social media discussion, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.