TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome depends on the exact point difference between San Francisco and Seattle in their October 11, 2026, Pro Football game. A narrow win for either team, a larger margin of victory, or a tied game will each satisfy different conditions in the market.
This market resolves based on the point differential between San Francisco and Seattle in their full Pro Football game on October 11, 2026, including any overtime periods. If Seattle wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), between 1-6 points, 7-14 points, or 15+ points, the respective markets resolve to Yes. Similarly, if San Francisco wins by 1-6 points, 7-14 points, or 15+ points, those markets resolve to Yes. The outcome is determined solely by the margin of victory, with no other factors considered.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for traders who believe the market is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable part of your research.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that margin occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific margin, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the event approaches. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest in various potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final winning margin of the San Francisco vs Seattle game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the relevant sporting authority. Traders who hold contracts corresponding to the actual winning margin will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect margins will not. It’s important to monitor official sources as the event concludes to understand the final result and the market’s settlement.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Francisco or Seattle teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can indicate informed traders taking positions, potentially signaling a shift in sentiment about the likely outcome of the San Francisco vs Seattle game.